Will "sxsi" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 58% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

158 of 2649 launches in the last hour referenced "sxsi" (78 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 1.97×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.5179735680889299,
      "momentum": 0.6786433140792009,
      "diversity": -0.30759493670886073
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5798884196978121
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "sxsi",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.11790017211703958,
    "share60": 0.059811320754716985,
    "total15": 580,
    "total60": 2649,
    "momentum": 1.9712016158369392,
    "diversity": 0.4936708860759494,
    "launches15": 68,
    "launches60": 158,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 78
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 423,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9990855555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998475925925926
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5798884196978121
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00419785909186315,
  "shareRatio": 0.3633418885703008,
  "totalAfter": 14293,
  "shareBefore": 0.011614967311169842,
  "totalBefore": 14378,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 60,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 167
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity