Prediction ledger
4,264 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #4264 | $Alon | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC | OPEN | Launched 16m ago. No social links. No hot term. Creator launched 7 tokens in the last hour. |
| #4263 | $Alon | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:30 UTC | OPEN | Launched 16m ago. No social links. No hot term. Creator launched 7 tokens in the last hour. |
| #4262 | $burnpump2 | token · 6H | 4% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC | OPEN | Launched 24m ago. website. No hot term. Creator launched 3 tokens in the last hour. |
| #4261 | $burnpump2 | token · 1H | 4% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:30 UTC | OPEN | Launched 24m ago. website. No hot term. Creator launched 3 tokens in the last hour. |
| #4260 | "jumping" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-16 00:30 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 1761 launches in the last hour referenced "jumping" (3 distinct creators, rank #268). Last 15m momentum 1.16×. |
| #4259 | "pls" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-16 00:30 UTC | OPEN | 41 of 1761 launches in the last hour referenced "pls" (7 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 0.87×. |
| #4258 | "wifnut" | narrative · 24H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-16 00:30 UTC | OPEN | 44 of 1761 launches in the last hour referenced "wifnut" (5 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 1.28×. |
| #4257 | "dope" | narrative · 24H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-16 00:30 UTC | OPEN | 45 of 1761 launches in the last hour referenced "dope" (17 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 1.91×. |
| #4256 | "dogs" | narrative · 6H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC | OPEN | 22 of 1761 launches in the last hour referenced "dogs" (15 distinct creators, rank #43). Last 15m momentum 0.28×. |
| #4255 | "pls" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC | OPEN | 41 of 1761 launches in the last hour referenced "pls" (7 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 0.87×. |
| #4254 | "wifnut" | narrative · 6H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC | OPEN | 44 of 1761 launches in the last hour referenced "wifnut" (5 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 1.28×. |
| #4253 | "dope" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC | OPEN | 45 of 1761 launches in the last hour referenced "dope" (17 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 1.91×. |
| #4252 | "black" | narrative · 1H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:30 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 1761 launches in the last hour referenced "black" (5 distinct creators, rank #241). Last 15m momentum 0.39×. |
| #4251 | "dope" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:30 UTC | OPEN | 45 of 1761 launches in the last hour referenced "dope" (17 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 1.91×. |
| #4250 | "wallet" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:30 UTC | OPEN | 51 of 1761 launches in the last hour referenced "wallet" (11 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.04×. |
| #4249 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:30 UTC | OPEN | 52 of 1761 launches in the last hour referenced "inu" (29 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.77×. |
| #4248 | $AI | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC | OPEN | Launched 28m ago. X link, website. Rides hot term "inu". Creator launched 141 tokens in the last hour. |
| #4247 | $AI | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | OPEN | Launched 28m ago. X link, website. Rides hot term "inu". Creator launched 141 tokens in the last hour. |
| #4246 | $Inutelligent | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC | OPEN | Launched 15m ago. X link, website. No hot term. |
| #4245 | $Inutelligent | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | OPEN | Launched 15m ago. X link, website. No hot term. |
| #4244 | "cyberaxe" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-16 00:00 UTC | OPEN | 8 of 1870 launches in the last hour referenced "cyberaxe" (6 distinct creators, rank #174). Last 15m momentum 2.90×. |
| #4243 | "energy" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-16 00:00 UTC | OPEN | 41 of 1870 launches in the last hour referenced "energy" (13 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 0.81×. |
| #4242 | "dogs" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-16 00:00 UTC | OPEN | 51 of 1870 launches in the last hour referenced "dogs" (26 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.04×. |
| #4241 | "doge" | narrative · 24H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-16 00:00 UTC | OPEN | 102 of 1870 launches in the last hour referenced "doge" (82 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 1.03×. |
| #4240 | "followers" | narrative · 6H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC | OPEN | 27 of 1870 launches in the last hour referenced "followers" (3 distinct creators, rank #26). Last 15m momentum 0.24×. |
| #4239 | "wallet" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC | OPEN | 53 of 1870 launches in the last hour referenced "wallet" (13 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 1.72×. |
| #4238 | "pepe" | narrative · 6H | 50% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC | OPEN | 75 of 1870 launches in the last hour referenced "pepe" (53 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 1.10×. |
| #4237 | "doge" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC | OPEN | 102 of 1870 launches in the last hour referenced "doge" (82 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 1.03×. |
| #4236 | "market" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | OPEN | 16 of 1870 launches in the last hour referenced "market" (15 distinct creators, rank #68). Last 15m momentum 1.76×. |
| #4235 | "pepe" | narrative · 1H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | OPEN | 75 of 1870 launches in the last hour referenced "pepe" (53 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 1.10×. |
| #4234 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | OPEN | 84 of 1870 launches in the last hour referenced "cat" (46 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 1.35×. |
| #4233 | "doge" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | OPEN | 102 of 1870 launches in the last hour referenced "doge" (82 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 1.03×. |
| #4232 | $John wick | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC | OPEN | Launched 19m ago. No social links. No hot term. Creator launched 12 tokens in the last hour. |
| #4231 | $John wick | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $John wick would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $526, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4230 | $fih | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC | OPEN | Launched 17m ago. X link. No hot term. |
| #4229 | $fih | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $fih would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,921, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4228 | "slop" | narrative · 24H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 23:30 UTC | OPEN | 8 of 2171 launches in the last hour referenced "slop" (6 distinct creators, rank #174). Last 15m momentum 0.78×. |
| #4227 | "diamond" | narrative · 24H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 23:30 UTC | OPEN | 74 of 2171 launches in the last hour referenced "diamond" (40 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.21×. |
| #4226 | "rex" | narrative · 24H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 23:30 UTC | OPEN | 81 of 2171 launches in the last hour referenced "rex" (31 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.03×. |
| #4225 | "paired" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 23:30 UTC | OPEN | 82 of 2171 launches in the last hour referenced "paired" (18 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.19×. |
| #4224 | "inux" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 2171 launches in the last hour referenced "inux" (4 distinct creators, rank #233). Last 15m momentum 2.38×. |
| #4223 | "diamond" | narrative · 6H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC | OPEN | 74 of 2171 launches in the last hour referenced "diamond" (40 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.21×. |
| #4222 | "rex" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC | OPEN | 81 of 2171 launches in the last hour referenced "rex" (31 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.03×. |
| #4221 | "paired" | narrative · 6H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:30 UTC | OPEN | 82 of 2171 launches in the last hour referenced "paired" (18 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.19×. |
| #4220 | "builds" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "builds" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.64% → 0.06% (-91%). CORRECT. |
| #4219 | "rex" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "rex" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.72% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4218 | "paired" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "paired" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.76% → 0.51% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #4217 | "mud" | narrative · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "mud" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.85% → 0.06% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #4216 | $Private | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC | OPEN | Launched 26m ago. X link, website. No hot term. Creator launched 6 tokens in the last hour. |
| #4215 | $Private | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $Private would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,920, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4214 | $HANS | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC | OPEN | Launched 27m ago. No social links. No hot term. Creator launched 119 tokens in the last hour. |
| #4213 | $HANS | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $HANS would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $8,772, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4212 | "chatgpt" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 23:00 UTC | OPEN | 75 of 2264 launches in the last hour referenced "chatgpt" (16 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 2.79×. |
| #4211 | "mud" | narrative · 24H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 23:00 UTC | OPEN | 81 of 2264 launches in the last hour referenced "mud" (44 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 3.60×. |
| #4210 | "pepetide" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 23:00 UTC | OPEN | 100 of 2264 launches in the last hour referenced "pepetide" (29 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 0.05×. |
| #4209 | "pept" | narrative · 24H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 23:00 UTC | OPEN | 149 of 2264 launches in the last hour referenced "pept" (45 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 0.04×. |
| #4208 | "sponsored" | narrative · 6H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC | OPEN | 9 of 2264 launches in the last hour referenced "sponsored" (3 distinct creators, rank #166). Last 15m momentum 0.95×. |
| #4207 | "mud" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC | OPEN | 81 of 2264 launches in the last hour referenced "mud" (44 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 3.60×. |
| #4206 | "pepetide" | narrative · 6H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC | OPEN | 100 of 2264 launches in the last hour referenced "pepetide" (29 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 0.05×. |
| #4205 | "pept" | narrative · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 05:00 UTC | OPEN | 149 of 2264 launches in the last hour referenced "pept" (45 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 0.04×. |
| #4204 | "brainr" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "brainr" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4203 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 40% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.66% → 4.38% (+20%). INCORRECT. |
| #4202 | "pepetide" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "pepetide" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.41% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4201 | "pept" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "pept" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.57% → 0.05% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #4200 | $◎ | token · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC | OPEN | Launched 18m ago. X link, website. No hot term. |
| #4199 | $◎ | token · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $◎ would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,918, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4198 | $PDOG | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC | OPEN | Launched 29m ago. X link, website. Rides hot term "dog". Creator launched 12 tokens in the last hour. |
| #4197 | $PDOG | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $PDOG would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $1,623, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4196 | "chimpshot" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 22:30 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 2227 launches in the last hour referenced "chimpshot" (4 distinct creators, rank #220). Last 15m momentum 1.10×. |
| #4195 | "read" | narrative · 24H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 22:30 UTC | OPEN | 32 of 2227 launches in the last hour referenced "read" (11 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 0.07×. |
| #4194 | "act" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 22:30 UTC | OPEN | 33 of 2227 launches in the last hour referenced "act" (13 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 2.49×. |
| #4193 | "misanthropic" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 22:30 UTC | OPEN | 39 of 2227 launches in the last hour referenced "misanthropic" (15 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 4.17×. |
| #4192 | "elon" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC | OPEN | 27 of 2227 launches in the last hour referenced "elon" (10 distinct creators, rank #19). Last 15m momentum 3.21×. |
| #4191 | "hacchan" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC | OPEN | 33 of 2227 launches in the last hour referenced "hacchan" (17 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.07×. |
| #4190 | "act" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC | OPEN | 33 of 2227 launches in the last hour referenced "act" (13 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 2.49×. |
| #4189 | "misanthropic" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC | OPEN | 39 of 2227 launches in the last hour referenced "misanthropic" (15 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 4.17×. |
| #4188 | "apple" | narrative · 1H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "apple" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.18% (-41%). CORRECT. |
| #4187 | "bird" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "bird" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.83% → 0.09% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #4186 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.10% → 1.01% (-52%). INCORRECT. |
| #4185 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 47% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.57% → 3.26% (-9%). PARTIAL. |
| #4184 | $PEPPA | token · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC | OPEN | Launched 22m ago. X link, website. Rides hot term "bird". Creator launched 4 tokens in the last hour. |
| #4183 | $PEPPA | token · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that $PEPPA would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,926, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4182 | $COGE | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC | OPEN | Launched 14m ago. X link, website. No hot term. Creator launched 7 tokens in the last hour. |
| #4181 | $COGE | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $COGE would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,060, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4180 | "robot" | narrative · 24H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 22:00 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "robot" (3 distinct creators, rank #257). Last 15m momentum 1.46×. |
| #4179 | "biggest" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 22:00 UTC | OPEN | 33 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "biggest" (4 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 3.45×. |
| #4178 | "bird" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 22:00 UTC | OPEN | 41 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "bird" (23 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.14×. |
| #4177 | "hello" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 22:00 UTC | OPEN | 52 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "hello" (3 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 3.71×. |
| #4176 | "toad" | narrative · 6H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC | OPEN | 12 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "toad" (11 distinct creators, rank #85). Last 15m momentum 0.15×. |
| #4175 | "balls" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC | OPEN | 37 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "balls" (21 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 0.05×. |
| #4174 | "bird" | narrative · 6H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC | OPEN | 41 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "bird" (23 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.14×. |
| #4173 | "hello" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC | OPEN | 52 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "hello" (3 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 3.71×. |
| #4172 | "rough" | narrative · 1H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 76% that "rough" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.09% (-68%). INCORRECT. |
| #4171 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 62% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.37% → 3.66% (+54%). CORRECT. |
| #4170 | "hello" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "hello" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.37% → 1.06% (-55%). INCORRECT. |
| #4169 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.24% → 1.46% (-55%). INCORRECT. |
| #4168 | $34% | token · 6H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 03:30 UTC | OPEN | Launched 24m ago. No social links. No hot term. Creator launched 63 tokens in the last hour. |
| #4167 | $34% | token · 1H | 2% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 2% that $34% would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $2,907, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #4166 | $buzz | token · 6H | 4% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 03:30 UTC | OPEN | Launched 25m ago. No social links. Rides hot term "send". Creator launched 4 tokens in the last hour. |
| #4165 | $buzz | token · 1H | 4% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 4% that $buzz would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $390, no recent trades). CORRECT. |