Will "spacex" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 62% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

107 of 2649 launches in the last hour referenced "spacex" (61 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 2.40×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4595086383041708,
      "momentum": 0.8743139527130346,
      "diversity": -0.21588785046728978
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6183508581753443
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "spacex",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.0972461273666093,
    "share60": 0.040566037735849055,
    "total15": 580,
    "total60": 2649,
    "momentum": 2.3972301164792063,
    "diversity": 0.5700934579439252,
    "launches15": 56,
    "launches60": 107,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 61
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 423,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9990855555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998475925925926
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6183508581753443
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.008045896592737703,
  "shareRatio": 0.8903205106555439,
  "totalAfter": 14293,
  "shareBefore": 0.009041591320072333,
  "totalBefore": 14378,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 115,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 130
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity