Will "qseal" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 54% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

63 of 1394 launches in the last hour referenced "qseal" (4 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 2.98×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3800545220936148,
      "momentum": 1.0931651662479518,
      "diversity": -0.8238095238095238
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5385699998610635
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "qseal",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.13581730769230768,
    "share60": 0.04551971326164875,
    "total15": 415,
    "total60": 1394,
    "momentum": 2.983703058752271,
    "diversity": 0.06349206349206349,
    "launches15": 56,
    "launches60": 63,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 160,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999369444444445,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999894907407407
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5385699998610635
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.006837472492926752,
  "shareRatio": 0.8405241093389849,
  "totalAfter": 12724,
  "shareBefore": 0.008117510630073444,
  "totalBefore": 7761,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 87,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 63
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity