Will "paid" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 39% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

23 of 2567 launches in the last hour referenced "paid" (10 distinct creators, rank #36). Last 15m momentum 0.94×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.22890844552425738,
      "momentum": -0.06439912102250614,
      "diversity": -0.3782608695652174
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3894496721908825
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "paid",
    "rank60": 36,
    "share15": 0.00858034321372855,
    "share60": 0.009151090342679127,
    "total15": 640,
    "total60": 2567,
    "momentum": 0.9376306967172305,
    "diversity": 0.43478260869565216,
    "launches15": 5,
    "launches60": 23,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 10
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 412,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9960297222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9993382870370371
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3894496721908825
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.009631280097750305,
  "shareRatio": 1.7169365451933563,
  "totalAfter": 13913,
  "shareBefore": 0.005596763317599461,
  "totalBefore": 14830,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 134,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 83
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity