Will "bot" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 31% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

43 of 2404 launches in the last hour referenced "bot" (33 distinct creators, rank #12). Last 15m momentum 0.26×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3227643304889193,
      "momentum": -1.3421534555389212,
      "diversity": 0.020930232558139573
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.31019037191601956
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "bot",
    "rank60": 12,
    "share15": 0.004725897920604915,
    "share60": 0.01808731808731809,
    "total15": 528,
    "total60": 2404,
    "momentum": 0.2612824022771223,
    "diversity": 0.7674418604651163,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 43,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 33
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 360,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9927038888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996959953703703
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.31019037191601956
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.006610800744878957,
  "shareRatio": 1.4553323869466541,
  "totalAfter": 42960,
  "shareBefore": 0.004540272009121264,
  "totalBefore": 49116,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 284,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 223
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity