Will "followers" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 51% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

38 of 2275 launches in the last hour referenced "followers" (3 distinct creators, rank #15). Last 15m momentum 2.65×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3042222370938428,
      "momentum": 0.9737408690811833,
      "diversity": -0.8052631578947368
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5077218769474227
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "followers",
    "rank60": 15,
    "share15": 0.044789762340036565,
    "share60": 0.016915641476274165,
    "total15": 546,
    "total60": 2275,
    "momentum": 2.647831145088915,
    "diversity": 0.07894736842105263,
    "launches15": 24,
    "launches60": 38,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 3
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 364,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9982630555555555,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997105092592593
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5077218769474227
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0014125467386788533,
  "shareRatio": 0.5408072969845483,
  "totalAfter": 12035,
  "shareBefore": 0.002656300615484289,
  "totalBefore": 15435,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 17,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 41
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity