Will "monkey" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 57% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

9 of 2275 launches in the last hour referenced "monkey" (8 distinct creators, rank #145). Last 15m momentum 2.41×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.08816799973531786,
      "momentum": 0.8791822864561705,
      "diversity": 0.1666666666666666
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5663583434040815
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "monkey",
    "rank60": 145,
    "share15": 0.010054844606946984,
    "share60": 0.0041739894551845345,
    "total15": 546,
    "total60": 2275,
    "momentum": 2.408929086885404,
    "diversity": 0.8888888888888888,
    "launches15": 5,
    "launches60": 9,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 8
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 364,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9982630555555555,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999276273148148
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5663583434040815
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0028362858604175385,
  "shareRatio": 1.1692841409316688,
  "totalAfter": 43014,
  "shareBefore": 0.0024254035545410078,
  "totalBefore": 49064,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 122,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 119
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity