Will "put" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 52% → ACCELERATES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 2276 launches in the last hour referenced "put" (4 distinct creators, rank #403). Last 15m momentum 1.66×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": 0.5076101869120163,
      "diversity": 0.06000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5243125938424701
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "put",
    "rank60": 403,
    "share15": 0.0040128410914927765,
    "share60": 0.0024154589371980675,
    "total15": 622,
    "total60": 2276,
    "momentum": 1.6613162118780096,
    "diversity": 0.8,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 380,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9954852777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9992475462962963
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5243125938424701
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.002774406103693428,
  "shareRatio": 1.047435515795301,
  "totalAfter": 11534,
  "shareBefore": 0.0026576780968431968,
  "totalBefore": 15427,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 32,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 41
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity