Will "paired" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 60% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

32 of 2276 launches in the last hour referenced "paired" (30 distinct creators, rank #16). Last 15m momentum 2.53×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.27844469855484394,
      "momentum": 0.9283427671509692,
      "diversity": 0.22499999999999998
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6025002398727202
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "paired",
    "rank60": 16,
    "share15": 0.036115569823434994,
    "share60": 0.01427316644707949,
    "total15": 622,
    "total60": 2276,
    "momentum": 2.5303123842449686,
    "diversity": 0.9375,
    "launches15": 22,
    "launches60": 32,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 30
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 380,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9954852777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999811886574074
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6025002398727202
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.007520197434285582,
  "shareRatio": 0.8768611323781722,
  "totalAfter": 42951,
  "shareBefore": 0.00857930752732101,
  "totalBefore": 48955,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 323,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 420
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity