Will "llm" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 51% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

12 of 2395 launches in the last hour referenced "llm" (11 distinct creators, rank #111). Last 15m momentum 1.41×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.13132031060308497,
      "momentum": 0.3464457545360018,
      "diversity": 0.19999999999999996
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.509719533600924
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "llm",
    "rank60": 111,
    "share15": 0.007377049180327869,
    "share60": 0.005217028380634391,
    "total15": 609,
    "total60": 2395,
    "momentum": 1.414032786885246,
    "diversity": 0.9166666666666666,
    "launches15": 4,
    "launches60": 12,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 11
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 426,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9924222222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996842592592593
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.509719533600924
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0007955635631888059,
  "shareRatio": 0.7655966110057807,
  "totalAfter": 42737,
  "shareBefore": 0.0010441832848777691,
  "totalBefore": 48842,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 34,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 51
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity