Will "intelligence" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 41% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

95 of 2183 launches in the last hour referenced "intelligence" (49 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 0.80×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.441665846874966,
      "momentum": -0.22262012811461213,
      "diversity": -0.2810526315789473
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.410473835901917
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "intelligence",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.035,
    "share60": 0.043727106227106224,
    "total15": 499,
    "total60": 2183,
    "momentum": 0.8004188481675394,
    "diversity": 0.5157894736842106,
    "launches15": 17,
    "launches60": 95,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 49
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 334,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9940997222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9940997222222222
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.410473835901917
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0248565965583174,
  "shareRatio": 0.5799436165928313,
  "totalAfter": 2092,
  "shareBefore": 0.043044857272315364,
  "totalBefore": 2207,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 52,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 95
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity