Will "buying" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 35% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

9 of 1998 launches in the last hour referenced "buying" (5 distinct creators, rank #116). Last 15m momentum 0.74×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.08816799973531786,
      "momentum": -0.3068812749259477,
      "diversity": -0.23333333333333328
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3505932291141835
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "buying",
    "rank60": 116,
    "share15": 0.0034965034965034965,
    "share60": 0.004752376188094047,
    "total15": 428,
    "total60": 1998,
    "momentum": 0.735737946264262,
    "diversity": 0.5555555555555556,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 9,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 297,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.99937,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999895
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3505932291141835
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.004251442453689645,
  "shareRatio": 1.0801179369829255,
  "totalAfter": 9879,
  "shareBefore": 0.003948188681859112,
  "totalBefore": 14437,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 42,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 57
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity