Will "money" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 38% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

89 of 2038 launches in the last hour referenced "money" (7 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 1.18×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.43187976859470595,
      "momentum": 0.16875372650153,
      "diversity": -0.80561797752809
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.37637001391051633
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "money",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.05196304849884527,
    "share60": 0.04389406571848946,
    "total15": 432,
    "total60": 2038,
    "momentum": 1.18382855742062,
    "diversity": 0.07865168539325842,
    "launches15": 22,
    "launches60": 89,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 7
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 326,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9932502777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9932502777777777
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.37637001391051633
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.05738132498695879,
  "shareRatio": 1.3215377983350907,
  "totalAfter": 1917,
  "shareBefore": 0.04337231968810916,
  "totalBefore": 2052,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 110,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 89
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity