Will "spacex" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 54% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

7 of 1836 launches in the last hour referenced "spacex" (6 distinct creators, rank #174). Last 15m momentum 1.32×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.050470835493181924,
      "momentum": 0.27523939095965977,
      "diversity": 0.1285714285714285
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5384940883464832
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "spacex",
    "rank60": 174,
    "share15": 0.005376344086021506,
    "share60": 0.004082743603701687,
    "total15": 464,
    "total60": 1836,
    "momentum": 1.316845878136201,
    "diversity": 0.8571428571428571,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 7,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 6
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 235,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9982586111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9982586111111111
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5384940883464832
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0004992511233150275,
  "shareRatio": 0.1843313373253493,
  "totalAfter": 2003,
  "shareBefore": 0.003791982665222102,
  "totalBefore": 1846,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 1,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 7
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity