Will "duve" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 60% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

39 of 1903 launches in the last hour referenced "duve" (6 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 4.11×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3081185600543319,
      "momentum": 1.4139851612650767,
      "diversity": -0.7153846153846154
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5998171699331393
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "duve",
    "rank60": 10,
    "share15": 0.08531317494600432,
    "share60": 0.02074579831932773,
    "total15": 462,
    "total60": 1903,
    "momentum": 4.112311015118791,
    "diversity": 0.15384615384615385,
    "launches15": 39,
    "launches60": 39,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 6
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 215,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9954833333333334,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9992472222222222
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5998171699331393
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.013261000602772756,
  "shareRatio": 3.5954875781646103,
  "totalAfter": 8295,
  "shareBefore": 0.0036666412038805288,
  "totalBefore": 13091,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 110,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 48
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity