Will "lptp" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 61% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

8 of 1903 launches in the last hour referenced "lptp" (6 distinct creators, rank #144). Last 15m momentum 2.66×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.07050054438686033,
      "momentum": 0.9786670900072311,
      "diversity": 0
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6069279946066659
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "lptp",
    "rank60": 144,
    "share15": 0.011879049676025918,
    "share60": 0.004464285714285714,
    "total15": 462,
    "total60": 1903,
    "momentum": 2.6609071274298057,
    "diversity": 0.75,
    "launches15": 5,
    "launches60": 8,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 6
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 215,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9954833333333334,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9992472222222222
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6069279946066659
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0007233273056057866,
  "shareRatio": 0.5544710573640178,
  "totalAfter": 8295,
  "shareBefore": 0.0013749904514551983,
  "totalBefore": 13091,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 6,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 18
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity