Will "burn" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 7% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

41 of 1762 launches in the last hour referenced "burn" (3 distinct creators, rank #12). Last 15m momentum 0.06×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3156201231405311,
      "momentum": -2.8076996009968247,
      "diversity": -0.8121951219512196
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.06830692942649691
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "burn",
    "rank60": 12,
    "share15": 0.0014204545454545455,
    "share60": 0.023539421440726037,
    "total15": 351,
    "total60": 1762,
    "momentum": 0.06034364731653888,
    "diversity": 0.07317073170731707,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 41,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 3
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 214,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9971511111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9995251851851852
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.06830692942649691
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.001537082105802485,
  "shareRatio": 0.299480771601134,
  "totalAfter": 7807,
  "shareBefore": 0.005305892756652464,
  "totalBefore": 12439,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 12,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 66
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity