Will "chain" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 69% → ACCELERATES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

35 of 1457 launches in the last hour referenced "chain" (34 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 1.69×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.291886522358297,
      "momentum": 0.5258056899156649,
      "diversity": 0.2657142857142857
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6864138274502696
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "chain",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.041193181818181816,
    "share60": 0.024348422496570644,
    "total15": 351,
    "total60": 1457,
    "momentum": 1.6918213828425095,
    "diversity": 0.9714285714285714,
    "launches15": 14,
    "launches60": 35,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 34
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 180,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9935444444444445,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9935444444444445
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6864138274502696
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.025816249050873197,
  "shareRatio": 1.087595374981299,
  "totalAfter": 1317,
  "shareBefore": 0.023744911804613297,
  "totalBefore": 1474,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 34,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 35
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity