Will "snail" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 72% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

7 of 1311 launches in the last hour referenced "snail" (7 distinct creators, rank #134). Last 15m momentum 4.30×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.050470835493181924,
      "momentum": 1.4589961928966226,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.7244466610936895
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "snail",
    "rank60": 134,
    "share15": 0.02459016393442623,
    "share60": 0.005716463414634146,
    "total15": 304,
    "total60": 1311,
    "momentum": 4.301639344262295,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 7,
    "launches60": 7,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 7
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 274,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9952141666666666,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9992023611111112
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.7244466610936895
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0014308012486992717,
  "shareRatio": 0.8844505840213995,
  "totalAfter": 7688,
  "shareBefore": 0.0016454886187037207,
  "totalBefore": 10939,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 11,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 18
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity