Will "cat" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 54% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

67 of 1284 launches in the last hour referenced "cat" (48 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 1.36×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3892882060435298,
      "momentum": 0.30453186521451614,
      "diversity": -0.040298507462686615
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5392851334446146
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cat",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.0712290502793296,
    "share60": 0.05252918287937743,
    "total15": 357,
    "total60": 1284,
    "momentum": 1.355990068280571,
    "diversity": 0.7164179104477612,
    "launches15": 25,
    "launches60": 67,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 48
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 215,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999277777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999987962962963
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5392851334446146
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.03413189077794951,
  "shareRatio": 0.5753745456286916,
  "totalAfter": 7764,
  "shareBefore": 0.05938310752378207,
  "totalBefore": 10407,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 265,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 618
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity