Will "giga" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 14% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

33 of 1281 launches in the last hour referenced "giga" (7 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 0.07×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.28306044735485697,
      "momentum": -2.6091976129258785,
      "diversity": -0.6454545454545454
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.14358893772453094
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "giga",
    "rank60": 10,
    "share15": 0.0019230769230769232,
    "share60": 0.02613104524180967,
    "total15": 259,
    "total60": 1281,
    "momentum": 0.07359357060849599,
    "diversity": 0.21212121212121213,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 33,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 7
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 139,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9949352777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997889699074074
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.14358893772453094
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0019052155275065491,
  "shareRatio": 0.7888145921058776,
  "totalAfter": 41990,
  "shareBefore": 0.0024197656647987776,
  "totalBefore": 47112,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 80,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 114
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity