Will "energy" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 22% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

34 of 1088 launches in the last hour referenced "energy" (12 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 0.31×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.28753839182730917,
      "momentum": -1.184613054151816,
      "diversity": -0.4764705882352941
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.22071893550507501
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "energy",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.009689922480620155,
    "share60": 0.03168044077134986,
    "total15": 257,
    "total60": 1088,
    "momentum": 0.30586450960566225,
    "diversity": 0.35294117647058826,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 34,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 12
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 159,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9971666666666666,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9995277777777778
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.22071893550507501
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.009511354179051242,
  "shareRatio": 0.9178025336774605,
  "totalAfter": 8411,
  "shareBefore": 0.010367691380349608,
  "totalBefore": 8295,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 80,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 86
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity