Will "wif" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 45% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 1315 launches in the last hour referenced "wif" (4 distinct creators, rank #188). Last 15m momentum 1.07×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": 0.06893859592993536,
      "diversity": 0.06000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4477556423383576
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "wif",
    "rank60": 188,
    "share15": 0.004477611940298508,
    "share60": 0.004179331306990881,
    "total15": 334,
    "total60": 1315,
    "momentum": 1.071370420624152,
    "diversity": 0.8,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 155,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9968775,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9994795833333333
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4477556423383576
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.004409509202453987,
  "shareRatio": 1.0879352603688843,
  "totalAfter": 10432,
  "shareBefore": 0.004032258064516129,
  "totalBefore": 7688,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 46,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 31
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity