Will "blockchan" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 62% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

47 of 1315 launches in the last hour referenced "blockchan" (29 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 3.93×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3361064533913937,
      "momentum": 1.368221580060196,
      "diversity": -0.15957446808510636
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6159461544787111
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "blockchan",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.1417910447761194,
    "share60": 0.03609422492401216,
    "total15": 334,
    "total60": 1315,
    "momentum": 3.9283582089552236,
    "diversity": 0.6170212765957447,
    "launches15": 47,
    "launches60": 47,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 29
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 155,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9968775,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998698958333333
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6159461544787111
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0002088312411536766,
  "shareRatio": 0.21475706529305302,
  "totalAfter": 43097,
  "shareBefore": 0.0010156233117963567,
  "totalBefore": 46277,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 9,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 47
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity