Will "audacity" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 63% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

35 of 1405 launches in the last hour referenced "audacity" (21 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 4.59×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.291886522358297,
      "momentum": 1.5249189704182293,
      "diversity": -0.18000000000000002
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6267741992105047
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "audacity",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.11601307189542484,
    "share60": 0.025248933143669987,
    "total15": 305,
    "total60": 1405,
    "momentum": 4.594771241830065,
    "diversity": 0.6,
    "launches15": 35,
    "launches60": 35,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 21
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 162,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9932775,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997198958333333
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6267741992105047
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0002762812543168946,
  "shareRatio": 0.36471597458649435,
  "totalAfter": 43434,
  "shareBefore": 0.0007782774126599793,
  "totalBefore": 46256,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 12,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 36
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity