Will "gta" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 49% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

25 of 1317 launches in the last hour referenced "gta" (18 distinct creators, rank #13). Last 15m momentum 1.41×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.24141568686511503,
      "momentum": 0.34546551421510885,
      "diversity": -0.03600000000000003
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.49386045872783385
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "gta",
    "rank60": 13,
    "share15": 0.027331189710610933,
    "share60": 0.019347496206373292,
    "total15": 310,
    "total60": 1317,
    "momentum": 1.4126473740621652,
    "diversity": 0.72,
    "launches15": 8,
    "launches60": 25,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 18
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 174,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9982819444444444,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999284143518519
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.49386045872783385
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0022147130005936346,
  "shareRatio": 1.0503436151510308,
  "totalAfter": 43798,
  "shareBefore": 0.002108558137512771,
  "totalBefore": 46003,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 97,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 97
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity