Will "agi" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 55% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

21 of 1409 launches in the last hour referenced "agi" (14 distinct creators, rank #18). Last 15m momentum 2.43×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.21526267879339842,
      "momentum": 0.8887331376797598,
      "diversity": -0.10000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5503284633164199
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "agi",
    "rank60": 18,
    "share15": 0.0370843989769821,
    "share60": 0.01524822695035461,
    "total15": 390,
    "total60": 1409,
    "momentum": 2.432046630583477,
    "diversity": 0.6666666666666666,
    "launches15": 14,
    "launches60": 21,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 14
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 185,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9951972222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997998842592593
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5503284633164199
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0003419504855696895,
  "shareRatio": 0.5001022320966698,
  "totalAfter": 43866,
  "shareBefore": 0.000695682420974825,
  "totalBefore": 45998,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 15,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 32
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity