Will "agi" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 26% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

22 of 1662 launches in the last hour referenced "agi" (15 distinct creators, rank #14). Last 15m momentum 0.29×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.22224068113863232,
      "momentum": -1.2423142744970093,
      "diversity": -0.08181818181818187
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.2551513314233881
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "agi",
    "rank60": 14,
    "share15": 0.00390625,
    "share60": 0.013529765484064944,
    "total15": 383,
    "total60": 1662,
    "momentum": 0.2887152777777778,
    "diversity": 0.6818181818181818,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 22,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 15
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 202,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999277777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999987962962963
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.2551513314233881
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00016765864699471876,
  "shareRatio": 0.0737822483002701,
  "totalAfter": 11929,
  "shareBefore": 0.002777427092538821,
  "totalBefore": 7921,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 2,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 22
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity