Will "uxento" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 45% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

94 of 1807 launches in the last hour referenced "uxento" (19 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 1.46×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4400785304753855,
      "momentum": 0.3777021361000179,
      "diversity": -0.6574468085106383
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4531958557173897
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "uxento",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.07625482625482626,
    "share60": 0.052267699115044246,
    "total15": 517,
    "total60": 1807,
    "momentum": 1.4589283160711732,
    "diversity": 0.20212765957446807,
    "launches15": 39,
    "launches60": 94,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 19
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 184,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9960452777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9993408796296296
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4531958557173897
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.020005949724825226,
  "shareRatio": 0.7133687343791741,
  "totalAfter": 13446,
  "shareBefore": 0.028040579049355977,
  "totalBefore": 8773,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 269,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 246
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity