Will "experiment" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 67% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

51 of 2189 launches in the last hour referenced "experiment" (51 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 3.82×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.34835815804353376,
      "momentum": 1.3405465015284792,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6669566367111555
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "experiment",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.0898576512455516,
    "share60": 0.023515981735159817,
    "total15": 561,
    "total60": 2189,
    "momentum": 3.821131188888505,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 50,
    "launches60": 51,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 51
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 272,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9924144444444445,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996839351851852
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6669566367111555
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0010590976488032196,
  "shareRatio": 0.5388820019082501,
  "totalAfter": 47210,
  "shareBefore": 0.0019738022609007717,
  "totalBefore": 44584,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 50,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 88
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity