Will "agent" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 40% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

22 of 2142 launches in the last hour referenced "agent" (21 distinct creators, rank #29). Last 15m momentum 0.55×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.22224068113863232,
      "momentum": -0.6009652272075965,
      "diversity": 0.24545454545454548
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4029257921713019
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "agent",
    "rank60": 29,
    "share15": 0.005756578947368421,
    "share60": 0.010499300046663556,
    "total15": 607,
    "total60": 2142,
    "momentum": 0.54828216374269,
    "diversity": 0.9545454545454546,
    "launches15": 3,
    "launches60": 22,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 21
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 246,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9949347222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999155787037037
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4029257921713019
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.011232611768206502,
  "shareRatio": 1.402457256703066,
  "totalAfter": 13443,
  "shareBefore": 0.007991475759190196,
  "totalBefore": 11262,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 151,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 90
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity