Will "launchpad" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 57% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

42 of 2061 launches in the last hour referenced "launchpad" (40 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 1.34×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3192347558773902,
      "momentum": 0.2930467070490388,
      "diversity": 0.24285714285714277
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5740995119116795
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "launchpad",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.027629233511586453,
    "share60": 0.02061105722599418,
    "total15": 560,
    "total60": 2061,
    "momentum": 1.340505400020971,
    "diversity": 0.9523809523809523,
    "launches15": 15,
    "launches60": 42,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 40
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 359,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9996569444444444,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999428240740741
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5740995119116795
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.013528899604848972,
  "shareRatio": 1.3734079341499648,
  "totalAfter": 14931,
  "shareBefore": 0.00982256020278834,
  "totalBefore": 9468,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 202,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 93
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity