Will "money" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 47% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

86 of 2291 launches in the last hour referenced "money" (19 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 1.59×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4267364075729111,
      "momentum": 0.4624316295727181,
      "diversity": -0.6348837209302326
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.46953753019075956
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "money",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.05992844364937388,
    "share60": 0.03773996509598604,
    "total15": 558,
    "total60": 2291,
    "momentum": 1.5879305531140455,
    "diversity": 0.22093023255813954,
    "launches15": 33,
    "launches60": 86,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 19
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 236,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9918672222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.998644537037037
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.46953753019075956
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.04739698799785949,
  "shareRatio": 1.4194160699401959,
  "totalAfter": 13081,
  "shareBefore": 0.033376233376233376,
  "totalBefore": 11655,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 620,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 389
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity