Will "money" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 36% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

111 of 2326 launches in the last hour referenced "money" (16 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 0.97×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.46501384333173507,
      "momentum": -0.028425128732036134,
      "diversity": -0.727027027027027
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3565342914025862
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "money",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.04657293497363796,
    "share60": 0.04791577137945853,
    "total15": 568,
    "total60": 2326,
    "momentum": 0.9719750644274039,
    "diversity": 0.14414414414414414,
    "launches15": 26,
    "launches60": 111,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 16
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 258,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9971536111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9971536111111111
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3565342914025862
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.04091653027823241,
  "shareRatio": 0.8596880244298329,
  "totalAfter": 2444,
  "shareBefore": 0.047619047619047616,
  "totalBefore": 2331,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 100,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 111
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity