Will "work" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 57% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

6 of 2326 launches in the last hour referenced "work" (5 distinct creators, rank #237). Last 15m momentum 2.83×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.027348233519093188,
      "momentum": 1.0407299490506434,
      "diversity": 0.10000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5705361815509876
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "work",
    "rank60": 237,
    "share15": 0.007908611599297012,
    "share60": 0.002793296089385475,
    "total15": 568,
    "total60": 2326,
    "momentum": 2.8312829525483303,
    "diversity": 0.8333333333333334,
    "launches15": 4,
    "launches60": 6,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 258,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9971536111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998814004629629
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5705361815509876
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.002312451823920335,
  "shareRatio": 0.7354807943608411,
  "totalAfter": 48001,
  "shareBefore": 0.003146821021683205,
  "totalBefore": 43536,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 111,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 137
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity