Will "welcome" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 50% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 2289 launches in the last hour referenced "welcome" (4 distinct creators, rank #322). Last 15m momentum 1.76×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": 0.5643431013000095,
      "diversity": 0.06000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5030428500969245
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "welcome",
    "rank60": 322,
    "share15": 0.004222972972972973,
    "share60": 0.00240174672489083,
    "total15": 591,
    "total60": 2289,
    "momentum": 1.7582923832923834,
    "diversity": 0.8,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 277,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9940922222222223,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997538425925926
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5030428500969245
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.003110548908197333,
  "shareRatio": 1.183361923831436,
  "totalAfter": 48223,
  "shareBefore": 0.00262582056892779,
  "totalBefore": 43415,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 150,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 114
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity