Will "bat" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 54% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

94 of 2439 launches in the last hour referenced "bat" (54 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 1.57×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4400785304753855,
      "momentum": 0.45249899391842824,
      "diversity": -0.21063829787234037
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5442235020529353
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "bat",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.060891938250428816,
    "share60": 0.03872950819672131,
    "total15": 582,
    "total60": 2439,
    "momentum": 1.5722362892174213,
    "diversity": 0.574468085106383,
    "launches15": 35,
    "launches60": 94,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 54
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 301,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9991038888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998506481481482
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5442235020529353
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.004083299305839118,
  "shareRatio": 0.5580726006910687,
  "totalAfter": 12245,
  "shareBefore": 0.0073512342335371045,
  "totalBefore": 12923,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 50,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 95
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity