Will "cat" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 56% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

86 of 2512 launches in the last hour referenced "cat" (62 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 1.16×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4267364075729111,
      "momentum": 0.1442725273497735,
      "diversity": -0.03488372093023262
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5587585493731683
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cat",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.03976311336717428,
    "share60": 0.03442101074413052,
    "total15": 590,
    "total60": 2512,
    "momentum": 1.1551988889214908,
    "diversity": 0.7209302325581395,
    "launches15": 23,
    "launches60": 86,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 62
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 267,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9960355555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9960355555555556
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5587585493731683
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.05282498851630684,
  "shareRatio": 1.5486074619022596,
  "totalAfter": 2177,
  "shareBefore": 0.03405940594059406,
  "totalBefore": 2525,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 115,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 86
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity