Will "chain" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 65% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

27 of 2325 launches in the last hour referenced "chain" (27 distinct creators, rank #23). Last 15m momentum 1.43×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2529598430355343,
      "momentum": 0.3561544928303825,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6477387436566304
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "chain",
    "rank60": 23,
    "share15": 0.016881028938906754,
    "share60": 0.011822871883061048,
    "total15": 621,
    "total60": 2325,
    "momentum": 1.4278281204326222,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 10,
    "launches60": 27,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 27
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 264,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9929830555555555,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9929830555555555
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6477387436566304
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.017582417582417582,
  "shareRatio": 1.5147867071417158,
  "totalAfter": 2275,
  "shareBefore": 0.011538461538461539,
  "totalBefore": 2340,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 40,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 27
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity