Will "cat" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 51% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

115 of 2173 launches in the last hour referenced "cat" (63 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 1.13×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.47032413238937243,
      "momentum": 0.12229877375419047,
      "diversity": -0.24260869565217397
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5125009468869626
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cat",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.060039370078740155,
    "share60": 0.0531278748850046,
    "total15": 507,
    "total60": 2173,
    "momentum": 1.130091693083819,
    "diversity": 0.5478260869565217,
    "launches15": 30,
    "launches60": 115,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 63
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 305,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9979941666666666,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9979941666666666
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5125009468869626
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.045951859956236324,
  "shareRatio": 0.8702662167229096,
  "totalAfter": 2285,
  "shareBefore": 0.05282498851630684,
  "totalBefore": 2177,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 105,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 115
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity