Will "views" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 45% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

8 of 2173 launches in the last hour referenced "views" (8 distinct creators, rank #150). Last 15m momentum 0.76×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.07050054438686033,
      "momentum": -0.28075843528543365,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.44762832418135035
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "views",
    "rank60": 150,
    "share15": 0.002952755905511811,
    "share60": 0.00390984360625575,
    "total15": 507,
    "total60": 2173,
    "momentum": 0.755210745715609,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 8,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 8
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 305,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9979941666666666,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9979941666666666
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.44762832418135035
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.000437636761487965,
  "shareRatio": 0.1681333950903196,
  "totalAfter": 2285,
  "shareBefore": 0.0036747818098300414,
  "totalBefore": 2177,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 1,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 8
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity