Will "name" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 54% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

48 of 2283 launches in the last hour referenced "name" (17 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 2.83×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3392644647710686,
      "momentum": 1.0393650088673474,
      "diversity": -0.475
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5378809563487247
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "name",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.060039370078740155,
    "share60": 0.021234676007005255,
    "total15": 507,
    "total60": 2283,
    "momentum": 2.8274210569039693,
    "diversity": 0.3541666666666667,
    "launches15": 30,
    "launches60": 48,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 17
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 263,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9996202777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999841782407407
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5378809563487247
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0043155847313396545,
  "shareRatio": 0.8661539850023754,
  "totalAfter": 49356,
  "shareBefore": 0.004982537834691502,
  "totalBefore": 42950,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 213,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 214
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity