Will "pill" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 57% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

30 of 2068 launches in the last hour referenced "pill" (19 distinct creators, rank #13). Last 15m momentum 1.58×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2687639203842082,
      "momentum": 0.4589318554586913,
      "diversity": -0.14000000000000004
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5714319273578053
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "pill",
    "rank60": 13,
    "share15": 0.02332657200811359,
    "share60": 0.014741420976317062,
    "total15": 492,
    "total60": 2068,
    "momentum": 1.5823828683536727,
    "diversity": 0.6333333333333333,
    "launches15": 11,
    "launches60": 30,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 19
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 268,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9935447222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9935447222222222
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5714319273578053
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.004091174751607247,
  "shareRatio": 0.2984717328022062,
  "totalAfter": 1711,
  "shareBefore": 0.014443909484833895,
  "totalBefore": 2077,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 7,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 30
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity