Will "memecoin" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 59% → ACCELERATES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

14 of 2068 launches in the last hour referenced "memecoin" (14 distinct creators, rank #54). Last 15m momentum 1.59×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.1544429125771737,
      "momentum": 0.4649109465147493,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.585052043787491
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "memecoin",
    "rank60": 54,
    "share15": 0.011156186612576065,
    "share60": 0.007008216529724505,
    "total15": 492,
    "total60": 2068,
    "momentum": 1.5918724207875776,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 5,
    "launches60": 14,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 14
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 268,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9935447222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9989241203703704
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.585052043787491
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.006465952717720751,
  "shareRatio": 0.9852192224338749,
  "totalAfter": 9898,
  "shareBefore": 0.0065775049331287,
  "totalBefore": 13683,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 64,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 90
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity