Will "cat" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 50% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

77 of 1916 launches in the last hour referenced "cat" (52 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 1.15×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.41015512641293755,
      "momentum": 0.13602043857366283,
      "diversity": -0.0896103896103896
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5048987489365967
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cat",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.04631828978622328,
    "share60": 0.04042775169535733,
    "total15": 420,
    "total60": 1916,
    "momentum": 1.1457053099379357,
    "diversity": 0.6753246753246753,
    "launches15": 19,
    "launches60": 77,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 52
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 250,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9988055555555555,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999800925925926
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5048987489365967
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.034468524251805986,
  "shareRatio": 0.8368632214229428,
  "totalAfter": 9690,
  "shareBefore": 0.041211039202558954,
  "totalBefore": 13443,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 334,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 554
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity