Will "cto" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 62% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

35 of 1666 launches in the last hour referenced "cto" (14 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 3.51×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.291886522358297,
      "momentum": 1.2568094673100896,
      "diversity": -0.42
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6201269725158632
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cto",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.07483731019522777,
    "share60": 0.021295740851829635,
    "total15": 460,
    "total60": 1666,
    "momentum": 3.514191439308301,
    "diversity": 0.4,
    "launches15": 34,
    "launches60": 35,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 14
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 162,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9982583333333334,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997097222222222
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6201269725158632
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.004256712508185986,
  "shareRatio": 1.470047047461575,
  "totalAfter": 9162,
  "shareBefore": 0.0028924955809095294,
  "totalBefore": 12446,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 39,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 36
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity