Will "blocks" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 62% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 1666 launches in the last hour referenced "blocks" (5 distinct creators, rank #176). Last 15m momentum 3.62×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": 1.2853828397541456,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.62074025681595
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "blocks",
    "rank60": 176,
    "share15": 0.01193058568329718,
    "share60": 0.0032993401319736052,
    "total15": 460,
    "total60": 1666,
    "momentum": 3.6160520607375273,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 5,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 162,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9982583333333334,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999274305555556
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.62074025681595
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00034727896715149536,
  "shareRatio": 0.6664964353563623,
  "totalAfter": 48952,
  "shareBefore": 0.000524458853819014,
  "totalBefore": 41948,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 17,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 22
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity