Will "safe" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 62% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

54 of 2264 launches in the last hour referenced "safe" (27 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 2.87×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.35693192011952607,
      "momentum": 1.055111520783417,
      "diversity": -0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6173771701880699
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "safe",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.06911262798634812,
    "share60": 0.024061810154525385,
    "total15": 585,
    "total60": 2264,
    "momentum": 2.8722954566803396,
    "diversity": 0.5,
    "launches15": 40,
    "launches60": 54,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 27
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 359,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9940633333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9990105555555555
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6173771701880699
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.001885810898686435,
  "shareRatio": 0.2869848214022579,
  "totalAfter": 15378,
  "shareBefore": 0.006636529768202366,
  "totalBefore": 10397,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 29,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 69
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity