Will "builtby" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 71% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

8 of 2264 launches in the last hour referenced "builtby" (8 distinct creators, rank #158). Last 15m momentum 3.87×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.07050054438686033,
      "momentum": 1.352010248340122,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.7121312433766365
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "builtby",
    "rank60": 158,
    "share15": 0.014505119453924915,
    "share60": 0.0037527593818984547,
    "total15": 585,
    "total60": 2264,
    "momentum": 3.8651877133105805,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 8,
    "launches60": 8,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 8
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 359,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9940633333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9990105555555555
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.7121312433766365
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00026011184809468074,
  "shareRatio": 0.28976433541099644,
  "totalAfter": 15378,
  "shareBefore": 0.0009618159084351255,
  "totalBefore": 10397,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 4,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 10
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity